Mercari: long-term performance & turning pointsSales (revenue) and profit-margin ratio
Sales (¥ bn)Net margin (%)
2013Founding, and the making of a flea-market app market
Revenue (¥ bn, bars) · net margin (%, line)
Source: securities reports
FY2013 · unconsolidated
Revenue$0K
Net income—
Net margin—
→
FY2015 · unconsolidated
Revenue$35M
Net income—
Net margin—
2013Kozo Inc. incorporated in Tokyo on 1 February
2013Development restarted from scratch in April as a fully native app
2013The Mercari app is released in July, Android first
2013The company renames itself Mercari in November
2014A US subsidiary is established in January
2014$13.7M (¥1bn) raised in March; first television commercial from 10 May
2014The US version Mercari launches in September with no fees
2014Cumulative downloads pass five million in October, seven million in December
2015Domestic downloads pass ten million in February, eighteen million in September
2015Advertising reaches 97.6 per cent of revenue in the year to June
Mercari was incorporated on 1 February 2013 and shipped its app that July, entering a consumer-to-consumer market that Yahoo! Auctions had held since the desktop era — and entering it on the opposite premise, with a fixed price set by the seller and the whole transaction completed inside a phone. Within two years the company was spending $33.9M (¥4bn) on advertising against $34.7M (¥4bn) of revenue, a ratio of 97.6 per cent, on the judgement that in this market the first to scale takes it.
A design premise: consumer-to-consumer trade completed on a phone
Yamada Shintaro graduated from Waseda University in 2000, founded Unoh, and sold the company to the American games firm Zynga in 2010. Wanting to build a business abroad, he left in 2012 and spent a little over six months travelling round the world; out of that came the idea of person-to-person trade as a mechanism for using resources without waste and making everyone better off, and on 1 February 2013 he incorporated Kozo Inc. (株式会社コウゾウ). He had found the consumer-to-consumer market interesting ever since launching Rakuten Auction as a student intern, and his aim was to create a market that was neither Yahoo! Auctions nor Amazon. Development began in WebView, but with smooth, responsive movement as the overriding priority the existing code was scrapped in April and rebuilt fully native; the Android version was released in July, the iOS version soon after.
In person-to-person trade Yahoo! Auctions had held an overwhelming position since the era when the personal computer was the main device, and Yamada read its design as one optimised for the PC and therefore for a limited set of people. Flea-market apps had been opened up in July 2012 by Fril, confined to women's fashion, and then by minne, specialising in handmade work — the genre-specific type came first, and by the spring of 2014 more than ten flea-market apps stood side by side. Mercari, arriving later, limited neither the product categories it handled nor the sex of the users it addressed; it put a fixed asking price rather than an auction at the base of the design, and completed listing, purchase and settlement inside the app. The operator sat between buyer and seller, holding the money until the buyer confirmed receipt and left a rating. More than half of users were women in their twenties and thirties, and clothing-related goods accounted for close to 40 per cent of items traded.
The front-loaded bet that put 97.6 per cent of revenue into advertising
Koizumi Fumiaki left mixi in June 2012 and joined Mercari in December 2013. From his time as executive director and CFO of mixi he brought two lessons — never lower the hiring bar even when hands are short, and never economise on investment at the moment that matters — and he read the flea-market app field he was entering as a winner-take-all market, in which being anything other than first made second place no different from hundredth. Within three months of joining, Koizumi was running a funding round, television-commercial production and the establishment of a customer-support base in parallel, and in March 2014 raised $13.7M (¥1bn) through a third-party allotment to Globis Capital Partners and others. From 10 May the company aired its first television commercial nationwide, save for a few areas, and overtook the earlier-moving Fril. Cumulative downloads passed five million in October and reached seven million in December.
In the year to June 2015 revenue was $34.7M (¥4bn) and advertising expenditure $33.9M (¥4bn) — 97.6 per cent of revenue poured into advertising. The following year the ratio was 55.7 per cent and the year after 64 per cent, so that advertising stayed above half of revenue for three consecutive years. The effect of that front-loading showed in user numbers: domestic downloads passed ten million in February 2015 and reached eighteen million in September. Nielsen's survey found that in August Mercari had 5.67 million smartphone users of auction and flea-market services, second behind Yahoo! Auctions on 15.89 million, and monthly gross merchandise value is thought to have reached something like $41.3M (¥5bn)–$57.8M (¥7bn) at its peak. Over the same period, funds raised by unlisted companies swelled to $1.3B (¥153bn) in 2015 on Japan Venture Research's tally, and the amount per company widened from around $225,620 (¥18m) in 2010–11 to more than $826,310 (¥100m).
2016Listing, the American miscalculation, and a reshaped portfolio
Revenue (¥ bn, bars) · net margin (%, line)
Source: securities reports
FY2016 · consolidated
Revenue$112M
Net income-$3M
Net margin-2.5%
→
FY2021 · consolidated
Revenue$966M
Net income$52M
Net margin5.4%
2016$76.7M (¥8bn) raised in March at a valuation of about $1.1B (¥120bn)
2017Cash listings prompt an FSA warning; the items are banned in April
2017John Lagerling joins in June; the US logo turns from red to blue
2017Merpay established in November to bring payments in-house
2018Listed on TSE Mothers on 19 June, raising more than $543.5M (¥60bn)
2018Withdrawal from the British business decided at the end of the year
2019The Merpay smartphone payment service launches in February
2020A business tie-up with NTT Docomo begins in February
2021Mercoin established in April as a domestic subsidiary
2021Data leakage and fraudulent payments occur repeatedly from May
2021Mercari Shops launches in October
A March 2016 round valued Mercari at about $1.1B (¥120bn) and made it Japan's foremost unicorn; listing on TSE Mothers in June 2018 raised more than $543.5M (¥60bn) for people, technology and overseas expansion. The overseas half of that plan did not work: the American business, begun in 2014 on the belief that the market was four times Japan's, accumulated valuation losses of roughly $128.8M (¥18bn), and the company began building its second pillar at home instead, in payments.
A ¥120bn valuation, and operating losses that outlasted the listing
In March 2016 Mercari raised $76.7M (¥8bn) from Mitsui & Co., the Development Bank of Japan and others at a valuation of about $1.1B (¥120bn). Called Japan's foremost unicorn, chairman Yamada kept raising money while unlisted as a live option, but as users multiplied so did complaints of improper use, and he accepted that at the proper moment the company would have to list and become an institution answerable to society. Among his reasons for listing he cited the gap between a start-up's own sense of itself and the responsibility the world demanded of it, and a belated realisation on safety and security; what he was after, he said, was not stable growth but discontinuous growth of five or ten times. On 19 June 2018 Mercari listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange's Mothers market, raising more than $543.5M (¥60bn), and named people, technology and overseas as its priority investments. The shares traded around ¥4,500 against an offer price of ¥3,000, and market capitalisation reached $8.5B (¥931bn) at the end of the year to June 2021 — yet operating profit had been in deficit since the founding, the company decided at the end of 2018 to withdraw from its British business, and the year to June 2019 was expected to bring the largest operating loss in its history.
In April 2017 Mercari split the roles, leaving management of the Japanese business to president and COO Koizumi and giving chairman and CEO Yamada the overseas side. Recruitment did not go through job-change agencies: about 90 per cent of mid-career hires came through employee referrals and direct applications from the careers website, and the management team took on people from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Mitsubishi Corporation and Goldman Sachs Japan. In October 2018 forty-four foreign-national graduates joined, twenty-nine of them from the Indian Institutes of Technology. In April 2017 listings of cash proliferated — five ¥10,000 notes offered at ¥59,500 — and Endo Toshihide, director-general of the Financial Services Agency's supervisory bureau, told the House of Representatives Committee on Financial Affairs that an operator might fall within the brokerage of money lending. Mercari deleted the cash listings and added them to the prohibited items in its terms, then in December of that year tightened the registration of personal identity information and shortened the period for which sale proceeds could be held. After listing, the company addressed its organisational problems on the engineering side by moving the system towards microservices.
The American business that ran up ¥18.1bn of losses
A US subsidiary was established in January 2014, and in September the American version began operating with no fees. Chairman Yamada judged the American market to be at least four times the size of Japan's, and a success there a foothold for Europe and Asia. In the United States, Craigslist had been part of daily life for more than twenty years, and Yamada also named eBay as a competitor. In June 2017 John Lagerling, formerly an executive at Google and Facebook, joined; the logo was changed from red to blue and the line The Selling App. adopted. Yamada saw the causes of the stagnation as internal: it was hard to win recognition through television commercials, and the service itself had not been built out far enough. Developing in Japan and only later sending Japanese staff over to the field did not work either. The company booked valuation losses on shares in subsidiaries of about $93.3M (¥10bn) in the year to June 2018 and about $56.9M (¥8bn) in the second quarter of the year to June 2023 in its non-consolidated accounts; both were eliminated on consolidation, but the valuation losses relating to the American business reached a cumulative scale of roughly $128.8M (¥18bn).
In Japan television commercials had lifted recognition all at once, but in the United States, where terrestrial broadcasting is not nearly so strong, the same method did not carry. At home, Mercari established the payments and finance subsidiary Merpay in November 2017, and Yamada sketched the order of things: let the proceeds earned on Mercari be spent online and in shops on the street, then extend into services built on user data and credit information. In 2019 gross merchandise value in the domestic flea-market business fell below the preceding quarter's figure for successive quarters, and Yamada admitted that measures had leaned towards activating buyers while work on the seller side had been neglected. On the merger of Yahoo and LINE he observed that pursuing scale was one way to fight, but that building a good service and earning users' support was the royal road. In September 2021 PayPal Holdings of the United States acquired the deferred-payment company Paidy for $2.7B (¥300bn).
2022From the flea market into payments, credit and an economic sphere
Revenue (¥ bn, bars) · net margin (%, line)
Source: securities reports
FY2022 · consolidated
Revenue$1.1B
Net income-$58M
Net margin-5.2%
→
FY2025 · consolidated
Revenue$1.3B
Net income$174M
Net margin13.6%
2022Moved to the TSE Prime market in June on the segment restructuring
2022Mercard launches in November on the group's own AI underwriting
2023Bitcoin trading with Mercari proceeds begins at Mercoin in March
2023Roughly $56.9M (¥8bn) of valuation losses booked on Mercari, Inc.
2023Shifts in September to a company with statutory committees
2024Mercari Hallo launches in March; Eco Mercari Bin on the 28th
2024American headcount cut to about half in early June
2024Revenue of $1.2B (¥187bn); domestic GMV passes ¥1trn
2024Cross-border trading opens to buyers in Taiwan in August
2024Mercoin's accounts reach three million at the end of December
Having turned the proceeds sitting in its users' accounts into a payment instrument, Mercari next turned them into credit: Mercard, launched in November 2022 on the group's own AI underwriting, made deferred balances a loan book, and by the year to June 2024 fintech revenue had reached $203.3M (¥31bn). At the same time the company stopped trying to reproduce its model abroad, halved its American headcount, and reached $1.2B (¥187bn) of revenue with domestic flea-market gross merchandise value above ¥1trn for the first time.
Turning flea-market proceeds into credit
In November 2017 Mercari established Merpay as the subsidiary responsible for its new payments and finance business, and in February 2019 began offering the Merpay smartphone payment service. It handled the deferred-payment product Merpay Smart Payments from the early days, and from 2020 extended it to instalments at an annual rate of 15 per cent. In a survey Merpay ran among 800 people aged eighteen to fifty-nine, 31 per cent had used deferred payment. In December 2021 the US Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, worried about the swelling of debt, opened a simultaneous inquiry into five companies including PayPal and Klarna. With competitors mounting sales-promotion campaigns on the scale of ten billion yen, Merpay said it would confine itself to a disciplined level of investment judged on cost-effectiveness. It withdrew from Merchari, the bicycle-sharing service started in the city of Fukuoka in February 2018, and switched to a structure fighting on two pillars: the founding flea market and payments.
In November 2022 Merpay began offering Mercard, a credit card using its own AI underwriting based on a user's record on Mercari. Deferred-payment balances are lending to users, and at the end of the year to June 2023 the allowance for doubtful accounts stood at $38.4M (¥5bn) while accounts receivable rose by about $251.9M (¥35bn) year on year. Operating cash flow turned negative in the year to June 2022 and widened to minus $262.6M (¥37bn) in the year to June 2023. Points returned to cardholders worked: revenue per user rose by 50 per cent on average, and the payment fees the group had been paying to outside parties were held down. Fintech revenue in the year to June 2024 grew to $203.3M (¥31bn), one and a half times the previous year, and Mercari set out a plan for core operating profit of ¥10bn or more from the fintech business in the year to June 2027.
The next bet: an economic sphere reaching beyond goods
In December 2021 Mercari began issuing NFTs using match footage, jointly with the Pacific League of Japanese professional baseball. Fushimi Shingo (伏見慎剛), a director of Mercoin, said that a marketplace dealing in goods had come to feel, with the arrival of NFTs, that it needed to cover digital assets too, and pointed to the pleasure of receiving flea-market proceeds in crypto-assets. Mercoin, established in April 2021, began a service in March 2023 allowing bitcoin to be bought and sold with Mercari proceeds. With thirty registered crypto-asset exchange operators in the market, Mercoin's account numbers stood at three million at the end of December 2024, the largest of any, and more than 80 per cent of its users were beginners in crypto-assets. Nakamura Keita (中村奎太), president of Mercoin, said the mass adoption the company had aimed at from the start was beginning to take shape. In June 2022 Mercari moved to the Tokyo Stock Exchange's Prime market in the restructuring of the market segments.
In March 2024 Mercari launched Mercari Hallo (メルカリハロ), through which users can find somewhere to work in their spare time, and on the 28th of the same month introduced Eco Mercari Bin (エコメルカリ便), a flat-rate delivery service at ¥730, about 30 per cent cheaper than the major carriers. Ota Asami (太田麻未), executive officer and CEO of Work, set out a new vision of circulating value in the form of time and skill, and said the company had decided to enter the spot-work market in answer to a society short of labour and looking for flexible ways of working. Ota named as the group's strengths the fifteen million users who had completed identity verification and the membership base of a flea-market app used by more than twenty-two million people a month. The market leader, Timee, listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange's Growth market on 26 July that year at a market capitalisation of $1.0B (¥157bn), and the market as a whole had reached seventeen million users in May. Mercari Hallo had five million registered users and 50,000 partner companies in just under three months. In August of the same year cross-border trading was opened so that buyers in Taiwan could purchase listings in Japan.
In September 2023 Mercari moved from a company with a board of corporate auditors to a company with nominating and other statutory committees. The American business saw gross merchandise value fall below the same quarter of the previous year for ten consecutive quarters, and the year to June 2024 brought $913m, down 10 per cent year on year, with the cumulative adjusted operating loss since the year to June 2017 swelling to close to $500m. At the beginning of June 2024 local headcount was cut to about half, and the management took responsibility through reductions in their own pay. Yamada, the CEO, looked back and said there had been a misreading in the plan to strengthen investment and reach profitability through growth; admitting a shortfall in his own ability as a manager to move an organisation of two thousand people boldly, he raised the internal slogan Back to Startup. With investors questioning the company's interest in generating profit, Mercari disclosed a full-year earnings forecast at the start of a financial year for the first time. In the year to June 2024 revenue was $1.2B (¥187bn), gross merchandise value in the domestic flea-market business passed ¥1trn for the first time, and the company recorded its first two consecutive profitable years since listing.
The turning points, read in full: what was at stake, what was chosen and what the revenue did around it. The Japanese edition is the edition of record and carries the sourced dossier behind each decision — background, options weighed, outcome — linked under every decision.
Revenue (¥ bn) · net margin % · around FY2013
Key decision · 2013
Redefining smartphone-first consumer-to-consumer trade around the fixed price (2013)
Speed over scale — a founding design that bet everything on being first
The core of this founding decision lies not in coping with constraints of capital or technology but in rebuilding the very form of consumer-to-consumer trade on the premise of the smartphone. Japanese person-to-person trade had taken the auction for granted since Yahoo! Auctions, but Yamada discarded the method of bidding a price upward and chose a flea market with a fixed price set by the seller. A settled price speeds the decision to buy, raises the turnover of listing and purchase, and brings trade between individuals closer to an everyday act than a special one. Preferring the practical experience of an app that moves smoothly on a phone over a higher degree of finish — insisting on native code to the point of rebuilding from HTML5 — likewise shows a founder whose first priority was fit with the market. That he went to open up a new category rather than contest share with existing players is where the character of this decision appears.
That founding design was also the prototype of the growth model that followed. Putting first place in the market above everything led on to aggressive fundraising that did not mind dilution of the holding, and to large-scale advertising investment including television commercials. In consumer-to-consumer trade, where network effects operate, the side that takes scale first stands at an advantage; but a high fixed-cost structure that puts most of revenue into advertising narrows the room for adjustment once growth slows. That the American business, which carried the smartphone consumer-to-consumer model established in Japan across the ocean, booked impairments cumulatively above ten billion yen shows the other side of the idea chosen in these founding years — take scale first. The choice made in 2013, betting on speed and scale to open a new market, can be seen as the starting point that prepared both Mercari's later strength and its later difficulty at the same time.
Raising ¥1.45bn and front-loading mass advertising on television (2014)
The merits and demerits of a bet that takes scale in advance
The core of this decision lies in the fact that what it went after first, with time as an ally, was not financial soundness or near-term profitability but the structure of a market whose outcome was not yet settled. For a company barely founded and booking no revenue, the choice to throw most of the money it had raised into television commercials at a stroke was also a bet that, if it failed, would simply burn the cash. Even so, in flea-market apps, where network effects work strongly, getting ahead on recognition and scale is what settles the distance from later entrants. The character of this judgement can be seen in its going to take the market before competitors had begun to move in earnest, deliberately building the deficit into the plan.
That said, a strategy of taking scale in advance was also a way of embedding a high dependence on advertising, and high fixed costs, into the management of the company. Once the gap between growth expectations and actual profit and loss came to be felt after the listing, the share price corrected heavily, and the question of capital policy — how to bridge the time lag between investment and recovery — was put to the company again and again. Even so, it is also true that seizing recognition among the general public at a stroke in 2014 supported what became, in effect, first place at home thereafter. Take scale first, or take profitability first — this decision is instructive in showing clearly, and at an early stage, the choice a start-up cannot avoid when it takes on a market close to winner-take-all.
Sustained investment in the American business, and roughly ¥18.1bn of valuation losses (2014)
Not reproduction but reinvention — the discipline that going abroad demanded
The core of this management decision lies in carrying the consumer-to-consumer model established in Japan into the United States, seen as an unopened market, and in continuing to pour investment into it as a pillar of growth without withdrawing even as valuation losses piled up. That Yamada himself stayed at length in San Francisco, and in later years took on the role of chief executive of the local subsidiary as well, shows that the business was positioned not as one overseas venture among others but as the main event. On the other hand, in the United States, where established participants such as eBay and the habits of face-to-face dealing were rooted, the value that had driven the Japanese success — doing it easily on a phone — was not by itself decisive. The Japanese success, in which an unopened market and rapid recognition through television commercials meshed together, was not something that could simply be reproduced in America under different conditions.
Even so, the process of not withdrawing but reviewing investment discipline and pulling the American business back towards break-even shows that a listed company carrying growth expectations is asked repeatedly where it will apply discipline rather than expand without qualification. Continued investment in an overseas market is a long labour of learning and adapting where the right answer cannot be seen, and requires not a simple reproduction of the Japanese model but a reinvention fitted to the place. Valuation losses of roughly ¥18.1bn in total can be called a case that left the difficulty of that, and the question of how far a success can be carried abroad, recorded in figures.
Founding Merpay and entering smartphone payments to build the Mercari economic sphere (2017)
What lies beyond the flea market, on a different principle
The core of this judgement lies in turning the sale proceeds that pile up on the flea market — an asset sitting idle — into money usable outside the app, and in making the settlement and the credit generated by each transaction a new source of revenue in themselves. Its emphasis differs somewhat from the economic spheres pursued by Rakuten and PayPay, which enclose consumption within their own services: Mercari's design placed credit at its axis, converting flea-market usage data into underwriting. The character of the decision appears in its attempt to build a second pillar after the flea market not as an extension of the existing business but on top of a different business principle, that of finance and payments.
That said, payments and credit are also businesses that demand a capital intensity and a discipline unlike the high margins of the flea market. The huge front-loaded investment of the start-up phase deepened the group's deficit, and the expansion of deferred payment turned receivables and bad debts into a permanent management problem. Even so, it is no small thing that Merpay and Mercard reconnected the one-off transactions of the flea market into a continuing relationship through settlement and credit. This choice — betting what lies beyond the flea market on payments — can be seen as having left Mercari with the question of how to hold the expansion of scale and the management of credit risk together thereafter.
The large-scale restructuring of the American business and a growth strategy brought home (2024)
The author's view
This judgement can be seen as a turn from the offensive growth of carrying a model that worked in Japan abroad, towards the discipline of pulling resources back to a home market where the outline of profit is visible. Gross merchandise value in the United States did not stop falling however often fees were waived or the brand recast, and ten years of investment did not reach profitability. That the company went as far as the heavy measure of halving headcount and still chose continuation rather than withdrawal suggests a founder swaying between attachment to a business he had raised himself and accountability to the market.
That said, the return home and the first disclosure of an earnings forecast can also be read as a change of character from a growth stock to an income stock. It was candid of Yamada Shintaro, the chief executive, to admit a shortfall in his own ability and an excess of bottom-up management, and to raise the slogan Back to Startup. Yet the structure in which the American business continues without being given quantitative targets remains, and an activist shareholder has appeared. Whether the fresh start leads to renewed growth, and how discipline and ambition are to be held together, are still at the stage of being watched.
This English edition follows the Japanese one chapter by chapter. The Japanese edition remains the edition of record: it carries the source-by-source citations, the financial tables and the shareholder and executive records. 日本語版(詳細)— Mercari full history in Japanese →
Mercari, Inc. — 有価証券報告書 (annual securities reports) and quarterly and full-year earnings presentations, for revenue, advertising expenditure, valuation losses on shares in subsidiaries, allowances for doubtful accounts and gross merchandise value.
Shukan Toyo Keizai — 週刊東洋経済 (Toyo Keizai Inc.): 31 Jan and 18 Apr 2014; 9 Oct 2015; 23 Jul and 31 Dec 2016; 11 Feb, 23 Sep and 30 Dec 2017; 23 Jun and 14 Jul 2018; 2 Feb and 28 Dec 2019; 25 Jan 2020; 15 Jan and 16 Apr 2022; 20 Apr, 31 Aug, 7 Sep and 21 Dec 2024; 5 Jul 2025. Including the Mercari and ZOZOTOWN feature, the spot-work feature and the crypto-asset feature.