Revenue (¥ bn, bars) · net margin (%, line)
Source: securities reports
FY2006 · consolidated
Revenue$6.1B
Net income$889M
Net margin14.7%
→
FY2018 · consolidated
Revenue$8.5B
Net income$365M
Net margin4.3%
Inpex Holdings was created by joint share transfer in April 2006 with ¥30 billion of capital and listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The trade minister took a single golden share carrying a veto, and the state still held about 19% of the equity a decade later; the chairman and president both came from the old MITI. In its first year the group turned over ¥969.7 billion with ordinary profit of ¥586.3 billion — no comparable Japanese upstream company existed. The arithmetic of the merger was contested: Nippon Oil, Teikoku's largest shareholder, called the exchange ratio unfair, bought its stake above 20%, and said publicly that Inpex looked overvalued. In October 2008 the holding company absorbed both subsidiaries and took the name Inpex Corporation. By then Azadegan was gone — US pressure over Iran's nuclear programme led Inpex to cut its 75% interest to 10% in October 2006, and the Japanese government quietly withdrew its financing and guarantees. The 260,000 barrels a day it was to have supplied, some 6% of Japan's crude imports, never arrived.
Everything then went into Ichthys, and the company bought in what it lacked. It sold 24% of the field to Total in 2006 for its LNG experience, took in around twenty of its senior engineers, and staffed a 300-person Perth office with Australian, European and American hands, designing every facility around proven technology to avoid surprises. The money was raised in layers: about $5.9B (¥520bn) of new equity in August 2010, $20 billion of project finance in August 2012, and retained earnings — because operating cash flow of some ¥200 billion a year could not cover ¥300 billion of annual investment. In December 2012 the board took final investment decision on a $34 billion project, more than the company's entire equity. Interest-bearing debt went from ¥273.1 billion in the year to March 2011 to ¥1,141.2 billion by March 2019.
The build was worse than planned. Up to 30,000 workers were on site as Australia's resource boom drained the labour market, wet-season rain caught the pipework, and start-up slipped about eighteen months past its end-2016 target while costs swelled by nearly ¥700 billion to $40 billion — just as oil fell from $100 a barrel to under $50, in a business where every dollar of average price was worth ¥2.5 billion of consolidated profit. Group revenue shrank 24% in two years and net profit fell from ¥183.6 billion to ¥16.7 billion. In the middle of that, in April 2015, Inpex secured 5% of Abu Dhabi's onshore ADCO concession for forty years, 2015 to 2054 — an unusual term, won after Total took its 10% and Japan, China and Korea fought over the remainder, settled by a call between Prime Minister Abe and the crown prince. Ichthys finally started up in July 2018, twenty years after the block was acquired: 8.9 million tonnes of LNG a year, roughly 70% contracted to Japanese buyers for two decades, and membership of the ten-odd companies worldwide able to operate a project of that size.