Odakyu Electric Railway: long-term performance & turning pointsSales (revenue) and profit-margin ratio
Sales (¥ bn)Net margin (%)
1923A tourist railway across empty moorland
Revenue (¥ bn, bars) · net margin (%, line)
Source: securities reports
1923Odawara Express Railway incorporated
1927All 82.5 km from Shinjuku to Odawara open at once
1929Enoshima Line reaches the Shonan coast
1941Takes the name Odakyu Electric Railway
1942Absorbed into Tokyu under wartime consolidation
1948Re-established as an independent company
1949Buys into the Hakone Tozan Railway; lists on the TSE
Toshimitsu Tsurumatsu incorporated the Odawara Express Railway in May 1923 with capital of ¥13.5 million, and the Great Kanto Earthquake struck the construction plan almost at once. He built anyway. In April 1927 the whole 82.5 kilometres from Shinjuku to Odawara opened in a single stroke — the longest electric railway in Japan at the time. The scheme was possible because Toshimitsu already controlled a hydroelectric company founded in 1910 and conceived the railway partly as a large consumer of its surplus power; his prospectus argued that traffic between Tokyo and the Hakone side was growing faster than the state railway could absorb. An Enoshima branch to the Shonan coast followed in 1929, completing a design that aimed at excursion traffic and Tokyo commuting at the same time.
The trouble was that most of the route ran through undeveloped country. In June 1926 Diamond observed that beyond Noborito the line passed “mostly uninhabited moorland,” and set against it the twenty years Hankyu had needed to reach a 12% dividend. In April 1929 the Yomiuri Shimbun reported that the Enoshima Line had raised the capital base without raising revenue, pushing the company into difficulty; a 5% dividend was being scraped together out of land revaluation gains. Applications for further state subsidy, and a planned 20% fare rise abandoned in the face of public anger, mark how far short of the founding vision demand fell.
What rescued the finances was, ironically, war. Diamond reported in May 1939 that fare revenue had risen 33.3% year on year, principally because military facilities had arrived near Zama. In 1940 the company absorbed the operator of the Inokashira Line, and in 1941 a merger with its hydroelectric parent gave it the name Odakyu Electric Railway. It kept that name barely a year: in May 1942, under wartime transport consolidation, Odakyu was absorbed into Tokyu, joined in 1944 by Keio, so that the whole private-railway network west of Tokyo sat inside one company. The name vanished from the map nineteen years after the company was founded, and stayed gone for six more. Tokyu could not fund the rebuilding of the bombed ex-Odakyu lines, and former Odakyu staff pressed for separation; on 1 June 1948 Odakyu Electric Railway was re-established with ¥100 million of capital as a legally new company. Within a year it had bought into the Hakone Tozan Railway and the Kanagawa bus network, listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange in May 1949, and begun assembling the taxi, sightseeing-boat and resort holdings that became the postwar group.
1950From excursions to commuting — and a terminal at Shinjuku
Revenue (¥ bn, bars) · net margin (%, line)
Source: securities reports
FY1971 · unconsolidated
Revenue$62M
Net income$4M
Net margin5.8%
→
FY1979 · unconsolidated
Revenue$253M
Net income$8M
Net margin3.3%
1961Odakyu Department Store founded; Shinjuku store opens 1962
1964City plan authorises quadruple tracking; Odakyu Real Estate founded
1967Shinjuku west-exit station building completed
1974Tama Line opens into the new town
The line changed character in the late 1950s. “Until now we have done well on our distinctiveness as a tourist line,” Diamond wrote in June 1958, “but from here the weight of commuting will steadily grow.” The same article named the structural problem that would shape everything after it: season-ticket fares were held, as a matter of social policy, at levels that ignored the economics of a private company. The more commuters Odakyu carried, the more below-cost traffic it owned. Suburbia was arriving regardless — by 1958 the Yomiuri was describing the area around Seijo Gakuen as an upmarket residential district.
Since the railway could not price its way out, it built businesses beside the railway instead. Odakyu Department Store was founded in June 1961 and opened at Shinjuku in November 1962; Odakyu Real Estate followed in December 1964 to sell housing plots along the line; a car park and underground shopping arcade at Shinjuku’s west exit came in 1966 and the west-exit station building in 1967. Looking back in 1964, president Ando Naroku put the company’s slow start down to running “along the back roads of Kanagawa,” and credited wartime military facilities with starting the housing growth that finally opened the corridor up. Non-commuter revenue from the terminal and the trackside was what covered fares priced below cost.
The commuter railway then demanded capital on a scale the company could not generate. Morning crowding passed 250%, and in December 1964 a city planning decision authorised grade separation and quadruple tracking from Yoyogi-Uehara to Kitami. In the same month Tokyo announced a new town for 300,000 people in Tama, premised on Keio, Odakyu and Seibu building into it. Ando calculated in 1965 that a 9.4 km branch would take total spending to roughly $63.9M (¥23bn) — far beyond retained earnings, and therefore dependent on borrowings and bonds. A Yomiuri editorial in April 1971 attacked the railways for still not having started work while they bargained for cheap land, long-term low-interest loans and premium fares. The Tama Line finally opened in 1974 and reached Tama Center in 1975.
1980Fifty-four years to lay a second pair of tracks
Revenue (¥ bn, bars) · net margin (%, line)
Source: securities reports
FY1980 · unconsolidated
Revenue$270M
Net income$9M
Net margin3.4%
→
FY2019 · consolidated
Revenue$4.8B
Net income$297M
Net margin6.2%
1997First quadruple-tracked section completed at Kitami
2004Setagaya-Daita to Kitami completed
2013Shimokitazawa section moved underground
2018Quadruple tracking finished — 54 years, some ¥310 billion
2019Enoshima Electric Railway becomes a wholly owned subsidiary
By 1981, ten years in, Tama New Town held some 18,000 dwellings and the press was calling it Tokyo’s largest dormitory suburb — precisely the traffic the 1964 plan had anticipated, and precisely the traffic the two-track railway could not carry. Retail kept pace with the housing: station buildings at Machida in 1976, at Shinjuku’s south exit in 1984, a shopping centre at Shin-Yurigaoka in 1992, a station building at Sagamihara-Ono in 1996. Work on the tracks themselves moved far more slowly. The first quadruple section, a little over two kilometres between Kitami and Izumi-Tamagawa, was completed in June 1997 — thirty-three years after the plan was approved. Group revenue that year was about ¥584.4 billion and ordinary profit ¥21.1 billion, against interest-bearing debt that had climbed into the high hundreds of billions.
The remaining sections were harder. Six kilometres from Setagaya-Daita to Kitami followed in 2004, and in March 2013 the stretch from Higashi-Kitazawa to Setagaya-Daita went underground, driven by shield tunnelling beneath the shopping streets and housing of Shimokitazawa — negotiation, as much as engineering, set the schedule. Through all of it the non-railway businesses carried the balance sheet: in the year to March 2007, transport contributed ¥163.8 billion of revenue and ¥26.3 billion of operating profit, while retail and property absorbed the financing burden of the works. The excursion railway of 1927 had become a group whose diversified earnings existed, in large part, to fund a single piece of track.
The last section was completed in March 2018, under Hoshino Koji, president since 2017. Some twelve kilometres from Yoyogi-Uehara to Noborito now run on four tracks; peak-hour services rose from 27 to 36 an hour, and the fastest Machida-to-Shinjuku journey fell from 49 minutes to 37. It had taken fifty-four years from the planning decision, about thirty years of construction, and roughly $2.8B (¥310bn) — the largest railway investment in the company’s history. The year that followed showed the payoff: the Enoshima Electric Railway was taken wholly in-house by share exchange in 2019, and in the year to March 2019 the group earned about ¥526.6 billion of revenue and ¥49.7 billion of ordinary profit, close to a record. The question the completion raised was what to build on top of the finished railway.
2021First loss in company history — net loss of ¥39.8 billion
2022Shinjuku west-exit asset swap; redevelopment of some ¥130 billion begins
2024Odakyu Hakone group reorganised under one tourism company
2025Roughly ¥15 billion committed to renewing the Hakone area
The pandemic hit a company that had just finished spending on rail. Passenger and hotel revenue collapsed, and the year to March 2021 produced an ordinary loss of ¥31.2 billion and a net loss of ¥39.8 billion — the first loss in Odakyu’s history, and a plain reading of how much the group still leaned on the railway.
The response was to rotate assets rather than simply cut. Odakyu sold ageing property at the Shinjuku west exit — among it the Hyatt Regency Tokyo, open since 1980 and badly hit by the collapse in occupancy — and put the proceeds into a redevelopment of the terminal itself: a 48-storey, roughly 260-metre complex costing on the order of ¥130 billion, due for completion in FY2029. Having only just finished a half-century investment in track, the company could start another large one because it had reorganised what it owned first.
The other bet was Hakone, where Odakyu has held the core tourism assets since 1949. In April 2024 it reorganised the Odakyu Hakone group to put the sightseeing business under a single company, and from FY2025 began an investment programme of roughly ¥15 billion to renew the area, aimed squarely at inbound demand. A railway that was conceived in 1923 to carry Tokyoites to Hakone is, a century on, investing in the destination rather than the line.
The heart of this sequence is that the 1949 share purchase was not merely an addition to the assets along the line, but the beginning of a question the company would carry for more than seventy years: where to draw the boundary against a rival chasing the same resort. Set the conflict of the 1950s and 1960s, which went as far as physically obstructing bus routes, beside the investment race of 2025, and the scale and the means are entirely different. Odakyu builds its approach around drawing visitors along its own railway; Seibu around capital recycling, turning gains on property sales back into investment. The form of the competition itself has changed from the days when the two slugged it out in the same ring.
Whether the near-non-aggression that has held since the settlement of 1968 survives five years of competing on the size of investment is not yet clear. That both presidents speak of “cooperation” and “partners” can be read as a distance emphasised precisely because the memory of the old conflict is there. Whether competition over the new pie of inbound demand raises the value of Hakone as a destination for both, or turns into duplicated investment and a fight over the same visitors, will be judged by how the investment plans launched in 2025 actually pay back.
Half a century of patience, and the question of the next one
What distinguishes this decision is that it was not one manager’s single choice but a sustained undertaking spanning the terms of many presidents — an administrative planning decision, followed by fifty years of continuous financing and construction. The anxiety over “an enormous sum of money” that Ando Naroku, then president, expressed in 1965 runs as an undercurrent beneath Odakyu’s management agenda for more than half a century, all the way to the single word — “overwhelming” — with which president Hoshino Koji greeted completion in 2018.
That said, had the investment lacked the tailwind of a growing population along the line, it is hard to deny that the fifty-four years themselves could have remained a burden. Quadruple tracking bore fruit partly because the surrounding businesses — commercial development at the Shinjuku terminal, taking the Enoshima Electric Railway wholly in-house — supplied the earnings in the meantime. The redevelopment of the Shinjuku west exit begun in the 2020s is an investment of the same kind, carrying a long financing burden, and the way of facing long-term investment that quadruple tracking demonstrated looks likely to be tested there too.
What stands out in Toshimitsu’s remarks is that he located the cause of the slump not in “a lack of selling power among the staff” but in “the failure of past management judgements — the investment and expansion of the bubble years.” That a man leading the company his grandfather Toshimitsu Tsurumatsu had founded began his reform by admitting that the company’s own decisions had been wrong gives this episode a weight the 1994 shift to a “specialist large store” did not have. That he took the department store presidency while remaining an executive of the railway suggests he chose not to separate the reform from the railway’s own problem case, Tokyo Opera City, but to carry responsibility for both himself.
Clearing the negative legacy, however, did not go as the slogans promised. Against his expectation of cutting into it within three years, consolidated results stagnated in the years to March 1998 and March 1999, and the year to March 2000 ended in a net loss. The experience of Odakyu Department Store in the 1990s, playing two hands at once — specialist large store and disposal of the bubble-era legacy — shows that a railway-affiliated department store could not win on the strength of its captive corridor alone, and that cleaning up what had been expanded in the bubble took a very long time.
The asset swap at the Shinjuku west exit is easiest to read not as a well-timed property sale but as a recomposition: letting go of ageing assets that had lost their earning power and turning the proceeds into the next investment. The Hyatt Regency Tokyo was an asset more than forty years past its 1980 opening, whose occupancy fell sharply during the pandemic; the department store’s main building was likewise an asset still searching for its shape after cutting selling space. That Odakyu, having only just finished a half-century investment in quadruple tracking, could immediately embark on another large one appears to be because it had settled this rearrangement of assets first.
On the other hand, completion is still some years off in FY2029, and what kind of customers and what returns a 48-storey, roughly 260-metre complex will bring to Shinjuku can only be known afterwards. Just as the earlier redevelopments of Shibuya and Marunouchi changed the character of those districts, the Shinjuku west-exit project aims at something more than replacing a building — a rewriting of the district itself. At the time of writing, how far that aim will bear fruit remains unclear.
Each heading links to the full Japanese analysis — background, decision and outcome, with sources.
Odakyu Electric Railway — 有価証券報告書 (annual securities reports), source of the financial figures above.
Diamond — ダイヤモンド: 21 Jun 1926 (“The subway and Odawara Express, seen from the share price”); 11 May 1939; 17 Jun 1958. NDL Digital Collections.
Yomiuri Shimbun — 読売新聞: 12 Apr 1929 (“Odakyu in difficulty”); 6 Sep 1958; 3 Oct 1964 (“Housing for 300,000”); 4 Apr 1971 (editorial, “Large estates and advance investment in transport”); 22 Apr 1981 (“Ten years of Tama New Town”).
Odawara Express Railway — prospectus (起業目論見書), February 1923.
Jitsugyo no Sekai — 実業之世界, August 1965 (interview with president Ando).
Kokoku — 広告, July 1964 (conversation with president Ando).
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